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人民币兑美元中间价创2011年5月来最弱


美元/人民币中间价走势图

中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布,2015年12月30日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价为:1美元人民币6.4895元,1欧元对人民币7.0894元,100日元对人民币5.3842元,1港元对人民币0.83733元,1英镑对人民币9.6142元,1澳大利亚元对人民币4.7283元,1新西兰元对人民币4.4542元,1新加坡元对人民币4.5911元,1瑞士法郎对人民币6.5376元,1加拿大元对人民币4.6893元,人民币1元对0.66009林吉特,人民币1元对11.1412俄罗斯卢布。

人民币兑美元中间价调降31个点,降幅0.05%,报6.4895元,为2011年5月27日来最弱;上个交易日中间价调降114个点,报6.4864元。http://www.suyamama.com//201602109107.html
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在岸人民币兑美元昨日收盘报6.4852,PK10:年初至今贬值4.34%。

注:中国央行8月11日大幅调降人民币兑美元中间价,宣布进一步完善中间价报价,人民币创出1994年汇率并轨以来最大单日跌幅

人民币弱势不会贯穿2016年

马来亚银行驻新加坡的外汇研究主管Saktiandi Supaat及资深分析师Fiona Lim在29日的报告中写道,人民币弱势不会贯穿2016年,并下调一季度并上调三季度预测。怀疑中国央行趁着12月交易清淡以及投机活动不多之际,让人民币进行初步调整,将明年一季度人民币兑美元预测由6.45下调至6.55。

12月人民币兑美元贬值幅度超出预期,人民银行在境内市场放手汇率并允许在岸人民币大幅走弱。但是,若将此现象简单理解为人民币贬值态势将贯穿整个2016年,那就太天真。

人民银行更倾向人民币兑美元保持双向波动,而人民币兑美元调整幅度最大的时刻就快结束。

考虑到人民银行希望人民币兑一篮子货币保持平稳,将三季度预测由6.80上调至6.65。

鉴于中国经济下行压力仍较大以及货币政策继续宽松,人民银行很可能维持人民币CFETS指数在98-102区间下限。

上一篇李克强对地方志系统先进模范座谈会作批示 下一篇管理督查通报(12月29日)
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